Aggregate of all polls released for Texas' Senate election between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.
2026 Texas Senate Polling Average
Ken Paxton leads James Talarico by 1.1% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Texas Senate election, 45.8% to 44.7%. The average currently aggregates results from 26 polls. According to the latest Texas Senate poll, conducted by Slingshot Strategies (D) on August 24, Talarico leads Paxton 48% to 42%.
Democrat
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Weighted polling average
Republican
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Weighted polling average
Net margin
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Polling average difference
Polls Included
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Number of polls conducted
Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.
