DEMOCRATIC
Iowa House of Representatives (D)
2023 – Present
Iowa state flag

2026 Iowa Senate Forecast

2026 Senate

REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-IA)
2021 – Present

2026 Iowa Senate Forecast

Year
2026
Race
Senate
State
Iowa
Democratic candidate
Josh Turek
Republican candidate
Ashley Hinson
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Forecast rating
Likely R
Projected vote
46.6% D / 53.5% R
Projected margin
R +6.9
Forecast odds
16.8% D / 83.2% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on June 20, 2026
Polling average
43.3% D / 47.7% R
Polling average margin
R +4.4
Polling last updated
12:00 AM on June 20, 2026
Polls included
4
Latest poll
Public Policy Polling (D) — June 4, 2026