David Jolly
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (R-FL)
2014 – 2017

2026 Florida Governor Forecast

2026 Governor

Byron Donalds
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-FL)
2021 – Present

2026 Florida Governor Forecast

Year
2026
Race
Governor
State
Florida
Democratic candidate
David Jolly
Republican candidate
Byron Donalds
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Forecast rating
Likely R
Projected vote
46.4% D / 53.6% R
Projected margin
R +7.2
Forecast odds
15.0% D / 85.0% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on June 20, 2026
Polling average
38.9% D / 42.3% R
Polling average margin
R +3.4
Polling last updated
12:00 AM on June 20, 2026
Polls included
14
Latest poll
Kaplan Strategies (R) — June 9, 2026