DEMOCRATIC
Public Health Official

2026 Michigan Senate Forecast

2026 Senate

Republican
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-MI)
2001 – 2015

2026 Michigan Senate Forecast

Year
2026
Race
Senate
State
Michigan
Democratic candidate
Abdul El-Sayed
Republican candidate
Mike Rogers
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Forecast rating
Tilt R
Projected vote
50.0% D / 50.1% R
Projected margin
R +0.1
Forecast odds
49.2% D / 50.8% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on June 20, 2026
Polling average
42.6% D / 43.2% R
Polling average margin
R +0.6
Polling last updated
12:00 AM on June 20, 2026
Polls included
10
Latest poll
Zenith Research (D) — June 14, 2026