Keisha Lance Bottoms, 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic candidate
Keisha Lance Bottoms
DEMOCRATIC
Atlanta, GA Mayor (D)
2018 – 2022
Georgia state flag

Georgia 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

Rick Jackson, 2026 Georgia Governor Republican candidate
Rick Jackson
REPUBLICAN
Businessman

2026 Georgia Governor Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Georgia's Governor election between Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican Rick Jackson. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.

The 2026 Georgia governor election features Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican Rick Jackson. The governorship is open and is currently controlled by Republicans. In 2024, Donald Trump won Georgia by 2.2%, and Republicans are expected to narrowly retain the state's governorship in 2026. Georgia's mix of urban, suburban, and rural voters makes the statewide margin especially important in a competitive governor race. A win would be important for Republicans as they try to defend their coalition of 26 governorships going into the midterms.

Year
2026
Race
Governor
State
Georgia
Democratic candidate
Keisha Lance Bottoms
Republican candidate
Rick Jackson
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Forecast rating
Tilt D
Projected vote
50.6% D / 49.5% R
Projected margin
D +1.1
Forecast odds
55.4% D / 44.6% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on August 4, 2026
Polling average
50.5% D / 44.4% R
Polling average margin
D +6.1
Polling last updated
12:00 AM on August 5, 2026
Polls included
6
Latest poll
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) — July 16, 2026