Georgia 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST
2026 Georgia Governor Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Georgia's Governor election between Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican Rick Jackson. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.
The 2026 Georgia governor election features Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican Rick Jackson. The governorship is open and is currently controlled by Republicans. In 2024, Donald Trump won Georgia by 2.2%, and Republicans are expected to narrowly retain the state's governorship in 2026. Georgia's mix of urban, suburban, and rural voters makes the statewide margin especially important in a competitive governor race. A win would be important for Republicans as they try to defend their coalition of 26 governorships going into the midterms.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- Governor
- State
- Georgia
- Democratic candidate
- Keisha Lance Bottoms
- Republican candidate
- Rick Jackson
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open Seat
- Forecast rating
- Tilt D
- Projected vote
- 50.6% D / 49.5% R
- Projected margin
- D +1.1
- Forecast odds
- 55.4% D / 44.6% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on August 4, 2026
- Polling average
- 50.5% D / 44.4% R
- Polling average margin
- D +6.1
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on August 5, 2026
- Polls included
- 6
- Latest poll
- Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) — July 16, 2026