Georgia 2026 SENATE FORECAST

2026 Georgia Senate Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Georgia Senate forecast currently gives Democrat Jon Ossoff a 91.1% chance of defeating Republican Mike Collins. Pollsmax projects Ossoff to receive 54.3% of the vote compared with 45.8% for Collins, a projected Democratic margin of 8.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Georgia Senate election features Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican Mike Collins. Incumbent Senator Jon Ossoff is seeking reelection to a second full term, having served in the US Senate since 2021. In 2024, Donald Trump won Georgia by 2.2%, but the election for the state's Senate seat is rated as a toss-up in 2026. The race will test whether Ossoff can once again hold a Democratic Senate seat in a presidential battleground or whether Collins can flip one of the GOP's top pickup opportunities. Georgia's Senate forecast and Senate polls will be critical to watch because the race could help determine control of the US Senate for the second half of President Trump's term.