Sherrod Brown
DEMOCRATIC
US Senate (D-OH)
2007 – 2025
Ohio 2026 SENATE FORECAST
Jon Husted
REPUBLICAN
US Senate (R-OH)
2025 – Present
2026 Ohio Senate Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Ohio's Senate election between Democrat Sherrod Brown and Republican Jon Husted. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.
The 2026 Ohio Senate election features Democrat Sherrod Brown and Republican Jon Husted. Incumbent senator Jon Husted is seeking reelection to a first term, having served in the US Senate since 2025. In 2024, Donald Trump won Ohio by 11.2%, and Republicans are expected to retain the state's Senate seat in 2026. The race will test whether the incumbent party can hold its existing Senate coalition as national conditions shift during the midterm cycle.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- Senate
- State
- Ohio
- Democratic candidate
- Sherrod Brown
- Republican candidate
- Jon Husted
- Incumbent / open seat
- Jon Husted
- Forecast rating
- Lean R
- Projected vote
- 48.8% D / 51.3% R
- Projected margin
- R +2.5
- Forecast odds
- 32.6% D / 67.4% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on August 4, 2026
- Polling average
- 45.1% D / 47.9% R
- Polling average margin
- R +2.8
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on August 5, 2026
- Polls included
- 14
- Latest poll
- Impact Research (D) / Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) — June 16, 2026