Katie Hobbs*
DEMOCRATIC
Governor (D-AZ)
2023 – Present

2026 Arizona Governor Forecast

2026 Governor

Andy Biggs
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-AZ)
2017 – Present

2026 Arizona Governor Forecast

Year
2026
Race
Governor
State
Arizona
Democratic candidate
Katie Hobbs
Republican candidate
Andy Biggs
Incumbent / open seat
Katie Hobbs
Forecast rating
Lean D
Projected vote
52.0% D / 48.1% R
Projected margin
D +3.9
Forecast odds
72.2% D / 27.8% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on June 20, 2026
Polling average
42.5% D / 38.2% R
Polling average margin
D +4.3
Polling last updated
12:00 AM on June 20, 2026
Polls included
10
Latest poll
Noble Predictive Insights — May 7, 2026