DEMOCRATIC
Governor (D-NC)
2017 – 2025

2026 North Carolina Senate Forecast

2026 Senate

REPUBLICAN
Chair, RNC
2024 – 2025

2026 North Carolina Senate Forecast

Year
2026
Race
Senate
State
North Carolina
Democratic candidate
Roy Cooper
Republican candidate
Michael Whatley
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Forecast rating
Likely D
Projected vote
53.0% D / 47.0% R
Projected margin
D +6.0
Forecast odds
81.6% D / 18.4% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on June 20, 2026
Polling average
48.7% D / 40.8% R
Polling average margin
D +7.8
Polling last updated
12:00 AM on June 20, 2026
Polls included
18
Latest poll
Harper Polling (R) — May 11, 2026