Abdul El-Sayed, 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic candidate
Abdul El-Sayed
DEMOCRATIC
Public Health Official

2026 Michigan Senate Polls

Mike Rogers, 2026 Michigan Senate Republican candidate
Mike Rogers
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-MI)
2001 – 2015

2026 Michigan Senate Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Michigan's Senate election between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
Senate
State
Michigan
Democratic candidate
Abdul El-Sayed
Republican candidate
Mike Rogers
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Polling average
47.8% D / 44.5% R
Polling average margin
D +3.3
Last updated
12:00 AM on October 10, 2026
Polls included
49
Latest poll
InsiderAdvantage (R) — October 10, 2026

Michigan Senate Polling Trend

2026 Michigan Senate Polling Average

Abdul El-Sayed leads Mike Rogers by 3.3% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Michigan Senate election, 47.8% to 44.5%. The average currently aggregates results from 49 polls. According to the latest Michigan Senate poll, conducted by InsiderAdvantage (R) on October 10, El-Sayed leads Rogers 48% to 46%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

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Latest Michigan Senate Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Abdul El-Sayed
Mike Rogers
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
47.8%
44.5%
D +3.3
InsiderAdvantage (R)
October 10, 2026
1,200 LV
48%
46%
D +2.0
Wedgewood Polls
October 9, 2026
607 LV
53%
47%
D +6.0
Quantus Insights (R)
October 6, 2026
762 LV
48%
47%
D +1.0
YouGov
October 4, 2026
3,949 LV
49%
48%
D +1.0
Mitchell Research & Communications
October 1, 2026
600 LV
46%
41%
D +4.2
Z to A Research (D)
October 1, 2026
483 LV
49%
42%
D +7.0
Trafalgar Group (R)
September 30, 2026
1,085 LV
47%
45%
D +1.8
Fox News / Beacon Research
September 28, 2026
1,028 LV
50%
49%
D +1.0
Marist University
September 27, 2026
1,235 RV
51%
44%
D +7.0
Guidant Polling and Strategy (R)
September 27, 2026
800 LV
48%
43%
D +5.0
Big Data Poll (R)
September 24, 2026
678 LV
46%
40%
D +6.0
co/efficient (R)
September 23, 2026
843 LV
45%
45%
Even
New York Times / Siena College
September 22, 2026
619 LV
49%
44%
D +5.0
GBAO (D)
September 22, 2026
800 LV
48%
44%
D +4.0
Cygnal (R) / Beacon Research (D)
September 21, 2026
600 LV
45%
40%
D +5.0
Suffolk University
September 20, 2026
500 LV
47%
40%
D +7.2
Torchlight Strategies
September 19, 2026
643 LV
43%
44%
R +1.3
InsiderAdvantage (R)
September 17, 2026
1,200 LV
47%
45%
D +1.9
Emerson College
September 14, 2026
1,000 LV
48%
46%
D +2.5
Washington Post / Schar School
September 14, 2026
803 LV
48%
45%
D +3.0
Trafalgar Group (R)
September 9, 2026
1,079 LV
46%
45%
D +1.5
CNN / SSRS
September 6, 2026
843 LV
47%
44%
D +3.0
Glengariff Group
September 3, 2026
600 LV
44%
46%
R +1.4
Abacus Data (R)
August 28, 2026
1,507 LV
49%
45%
D +4.0
EPIC-MRA
August 28, 2026
600 LV
47%
43%
D +4.0
Michigan State University
August 20, 2026
1,000 LV
50%
45%
D +5.0
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
August 17, 2026
800 LV
46%
39%
D +7.0
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
August 11, 2026
877 LV
48%
47%
D +1.0
TIPP Insights (R)
August 10, 2026
1,215 LV
45%
42%
D +3.1
GBAO (D)
August 10, 2026
800 LV
50%
44%
D +6.0
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Co. Research (R)
August 10, 2026
1,006 RV
47%
51%
R +4.0
EPIC-MRA
July 31, 2026
600 LV
43%
46%
R +3.0
SoCal Strategies (R)
July 30, 2026
640 LV
41%
42%
R +1.0
Mitchell Research & Communications
July 29, 2026
672 LV
45%
45%
Even
Glengariff Group
July 24, 2026
600 LV
39%
49%
R +10.3
Quantus Insights (R)
June 30, 2026
947 LV
45%
44%
D +1.1
Wedgewood Polls
June 28, 2026
602 LV
49%
44%
D +5.0
Data for Progress (D)
June 22, 2026
709 LV
47%
46%
D +1.0
Zenith Research (D)
June 14, 2026
409 LV
45%
42%
D +3.0
Mitchell Research & Communications
June 13, 2026
827 LV
47%
42%
D +5.0
Tulchin Research (D)
June 4, 2026
500 LV
46%
41%
D +5.0
TIPP Insights (R)
May 23, 2026
1,163 LV
43%
42%
D +1.0
Mitchell Research & Communications
May 7, 2026
607 LV
41%
42%
R +1.0
Glengariff Group
May 1, 2026
600 LV
40%
45%
R +5.0
Emerson College
January 25, 2026
1,000 LV
43%
43%
Even
Glengariff Group
January 6, 2026
600 LV
42%
48%
R +6.0
Mitchell Research & Communications
November 21, 2025
616 LV
38%
41%
R +3.0
Rosetta Stone Communications (R)
October 25, 2025
637 LV
31%
45%
R +14.0
Glengariff Group
May 8, 2025
600 RV
41%
47%
R +6.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.