David Jolly, 2026 Florida Governor Democratic candidate
David Jolly
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (R-FL)
2014 – 2017

2026 Florida Governor Polls

Byron Donalds, 2026 Florida Governor Republican candidate
Byron Donalds
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-FL)
2021 – Present

2026 Florida Governor Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Florida's Governor election between Democrat David Jolly and Republican Byron Donalds. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
Governor
State
Florida
Democratic candidate
David Jolly
Republican candidate
Byron Donalds
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Polling average
40.3% D / 44.2% R
Polling average margin
R +3.9
Last updated
12:00 AM on August 13, 2026
Polls included
18
Latest poll
Hart Research (D) — August 13, 2026

Florida Governor Polling Trend

2026 Florida governor Polling Average

Byron Donalds leads David Jolly by 3.9% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Florida governor election, 44.2% to 40.3%. The average currently aggregates results from 18 polls. According to the latest Florida governor poll, conducted by Hart Research (D) on August 13, Jolly leads Donalds 46% to 45%.

Democrat

%

Weighted polling average

Republican

%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

Polling average difference

Polls Included

Number of polls conducted

Latest Florida Governor Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Byron Donalds
David Jolly
Margin
Polling Average
44.2%
40.3%
R +3.9
Hart Research (D)
August 13, 2026
600 LV
45%
46%
D +1.0
Targoz Market Research
July 26, 2026
1,026 LV
45%
38%
R +7.0
University of North Florida
July 17, 2026
848 LV
46%
41%
R +5.0
Change Research (D)
July 11, 2026
1,348 RV
40%
41%
D +0.9
Kaplan Strategies (R)
June 9, 2026
668 LV
35%
30%
R +5.0
Change Research (D)
May 16, 2026
1,593 LV
42%
46%
D +4.0
Cherry Communications (R)
May 9, 2026
604 LV
47%
39%
R +8.0
Stetson University
April 13, 2026
848 LV
47%
40%
R +7.0
Echelon Insights (R)
April 9, 2026
406 LV
49%
43%
R +6.0
MDW Communications (D)
April 3, 2026
1,834 LV
41%
41%
Even
Emerson College
March 31, 2026
1,165 LV
44%
39%
R +5.0
University of North Florida
March 2, 2026
786 LV
42%
36%
R +6.0
Targoz Market Research
February 16, 2026
1,129 LV
41%
36%
R +5.0
University of North Florida
October 25, 2025
728 LV
45%
34%
R +11.0
Targoz Market Research
September 18, 2025
1,118 RV
36%
32%
R +4.0
Bendixen & Amandi
August 12, 2025
800 RV
42%
38%
R +4.0
AIF Center Poll
August 5, 2025
650 LV
41%
37%
R +4.0
Victory Insights (R)
July 28, 2025
750 RV
43%
38%
R +5.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.