Josh Turek, 2026 Iowa Senate Democratic candidate
Josh Turek
DEMOCRATIC
Iowa House of Representatives (D)
2023 – Present

2026 Iowa Senate Polls

Ashley Hinson, 2026 Iowa Senate Republican candidate
Ashley Hinson
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-IA)
2021 – Present

2026 Iowa Senate Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Iowa's Senate election between Democrat Josh Turek and Republican Ashley Hinson. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
Senate
State
Iowa
Democratic candidate
Josh Turek
Republican candidate
Ashley Hinson
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Polling average
46.5% D / 46.0% R
Polling average margin
D +0.5
Last updated
12:00 AM on November 1, 2026
Polls included
38
Latest poll
New York Times / Siena College — November 1, 2026

Iowa Senate Polling Trend

2026 Iowa Senate Polling Average

Josh Turek leads Ashley Hinson by 0.5% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Iowa Senate election, 46.5% to 46.0%. The average currently aggregates results from 38 polls. According to the latest Iowa Senate poll, conducted by New York Times / Siena College on November 1, Turek leads Hinson 48% to 47%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

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Latest Iowa Senate Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Josh Turek
Ashley Hinson
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
46.5%
46.0%
D +0.5
New York Times / Siena College
November 1, 2026
705 LV
48%
47%
D +1.0
YouGov
October 29, 2026
2,020 LV
50%
49%
D +1.0
co/efficient (R)
October 28, 2026
1,020 LV
46%
48%
R +2.0
Echelon Insights (R)
October 23, 2026
403 LV
45%
43%
D +2.0
InsiderAdvantage (R)
October 22, 2026
1,200 LV
45%
47%
R +2.0
co/efficient (R)
October 19, 2026
863 LV
45%
48%
R +3.0
Trafalgar Group (R)
October 15, 2026
1,094 LV
44%
46%
R +2.0
GS Strategy Group (R) / New River Strategies (D)
October 13, 2026
602 LV
46%
44%
D +2.0
YouGov
October 12, 2026
2,245 LV
47%
46%
D +1.0
NPA Polling
October 12, 2026
678 LV
44%
47%
R +3.0
Marist University
October 11, 2026
— LV
48%
45%
D +3.0
Emerson College
October 6, 2026
650 LV
45%
47%
R +2.0
SSRS
October 5, 2026
801 LV
43%
45%
R +2.0
Suffolk University
October 4, 2026
500 LV
48%
44%
D +4.0
New York Times / Siena College
October 1, 2026
606 LV
47%
48%
R +1.0
Rasmussen Reports (R)
September 30, 2026
1,048 LV
47%
43%
D +4.0
Quantus Insights (R)
September 29, 2026
738 LV
47%
49%
R +1.9
Fox News / Beacon Research
September 28, 2026
1,008 LV
49%
47%
D +2.0
InsiderAdvantage (R)
September 23, 2026
1,200 LV
47%
46%
D +1.0
Marist University
September 20, 2026
1,050 RV
50%
42%
D +8.0
Trafalgar Group (R)
September 18, 2026
1,089 LV
42%
44%
R +1.9
co/efficient (R)
September 16, 2026
831 LV
42%
46%
R +4.0
Cygnal (R)
September 11, 2026
500 LV
43%
43%
D +0.2
Rasmussen Reports (R)
September 10, 2026
1,000 LV
45%
40%
D +5.0
YouGov
September 8, 2026
2,041 LV
47%
43%
D +4.0
Emerson College
September 1, 2026
750 LV
45%
50%
R +4.4
Global Strategy Group (D)
August 31, 2026
800 LV
46%
42%
D +4.0
Abacus Data (R)
August 28, 2026
1,507 LV
54%
45%
D +9.0
Suffolk University
August 22, 2026
500 LV
41%
45%
R +4.6
Emerson College
August 4, 2026
712 LV
45%
48%
R +2.5
Fox News / Beacon Research
June 27, 2026
1,003 RV
50%
46%
D +4.0
New York Times / Siena College
June 27, 2026
600 LV
46%
48%
R +2.0
Cygnal (R)
June 19, 2026
600 LV
44%
46%
R +1.8
Global Strategy Group (D)
June 11, 2026
1,000 LV
47%
45%
D +2.0
Public Policy Polling (D)
June 4, 2026
557 RV
46%
46%
Even
Echelon Insights (R)
April 9, 2026
377 LV
46%
45%
D +1.0
GQR (D)
March 16, 2026
1,200 LV
43%
47%
R +4.0
Change Research (D)
January 11, 2026
1,108 LV
41%
44%
R +3.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.