Xavier Becerra
Xavier Becerra
DEMOCRATIC
Secretary of Health and Human Services
2021 — 2025

2026 California Governor Forecast

2026 Governor Forecast

Steve Hilton
REPUBLICAN
Director of Strategy to the Prime Minister (UK)
2010 — 2012

2026 California Governor Forecast

Year
2026
Race
Governor
State
California
Democratic candidate
Xavier Becerra
Republican candidate
Steve Hilton
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Forecast rating
Solid D
Projected vote
64.8% D / 35.2% R
Projected margin
D +29.6
Forecast odds
99.0% D / 1.0% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on June 20, 2026
Polling average
58.0% D / 33.6% R
Polling average margin
D +24.4
Polling last updated
12:00 AM on June 20, 2026
Polls included
2
Latest poll
Kreate Strategies (R) — June 17, 2026