Alabama 22026 HOUSE FORECAST

2026 Alabama 2nd District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Alabama's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Shomari Figures and Republican TBD. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Alabama 2nd District House election features Democrat Shomari Figures and Republican TBD. Incumbent Representative Shomari Figures is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Alabama's 2nd congressional district by 17.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as lean Republican in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Alabama seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Alabama's 2nd District will be important in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term. Alabama conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.