Alabama 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Alabama 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Alabama 3rd District House forecast currently gives Republican Mike Rogers a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Lee McInnis. Pollsmax projects Rogers to receive 68.7% of the vote compared with 31.4% for McInnis, a projected Republican margin of 37.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Alabama 3rd District House election features Democrat Lee McInnis and Republican Mike Rogers. Incumbent Representative Mike Rogers is seeking reelection to a thirteenth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Alabama's 3rd congressional district by 17.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Alabama conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.