Alabama 42026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Alabama 4th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Alabama 4th District House forecast currently gives Republican Robert Aderholt a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Amanda Pusczek. Pollsmax projects Aderholt to receive 74.8% of the vote compared with 25.3% for Pusczek, a projected Republican margin of 49.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Alabama 4th District House election features Democrat Amanda Pusczek and Republican Robert Aderholt. Incumbent Representative Robert Aderholt is seeking reelection to a sixteenth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Alabama's 4th congressional district by 31.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Alabama conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.