Alabama5th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Alabama 5th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Alabama's 5th congressional district House election between Democrat Andrew Sneed and Republican Dale Strong. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Alabama 5th District House election features Democrat Andrew Sneed and Republican Dale Strong. Incumbent Representative Dale Strong is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Alabama's 5th congressional district by 19.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Alabama conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- AL-5
- Democratic candidate
- Andrew Sneed
- Republican candidate
- Dale Strong
- Incumbent / open seat
- Dale Strong
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 40.0% D / 60.1% R
- Projected margin
- R +20.1
- Forecast odds
- 1.2% D / 98.8% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —