Alabama 52026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Alabama 5th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Alabama 5th District House forecast currently gives Republican Dale Strong a 98.6% chance of defeating Democrat Andrew Sneed. Pollsmax projects Strong to receive 60.1% of the vote compared with 39.9% for Sneed, a projected Republican margin of 20.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Alabama 5th District House election features Democrat Andrew Sneed and Republican Dale Strong. Incumbent Representative Dale Strong is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Alabama's 5th congressional district by 19.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Alabama conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.