Alabama 62026 HOUSE POLLS
2026 Alabama 6th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Alabama 6th District House forecast currently gives Republican Gary Palmer a 99.8% chance of defeating Democrat Maurice Mercer. Pollsmax projects Palmer to receive 64.9% of the vote compared with 35.2% for Mercer, a projected Republican margin of 29.7 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Alabama 6th District House election features Democrat Maurice Mercer and Republican Gary Palmer. Incumbent Representative Gary Palmer is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Alabama's 6th congressional district by 27.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Alabama conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- AL-6
- Democratic candidate
- Maurice Mercer
- Republican candidate
- Gary Palmer
- Incumbent / open seat
- Gary Palmer
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 35.2% D / 64.9% R
- Projected margin
- R +29.7
- Forecast odds
- 0.2% D / 99.8% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
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- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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