

Alabama 62026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Alabama 6th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Alabama 6th District House forecast currently gives Republican Gary Palmer a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Maurice Mercer. Pollsmax projects Palmer to receive 62.3% of the vote compared with 37.7% for Mercer, a projected Republican margin of 24.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Alabama 6th District House election features Democrat Maurice Mercer and Republican Gary Palmer. Incumbent Representative Gary Palmer is seeking reelection to a seventh term. This race is rated as solid Republican. Alabama conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- AL-6
- Democratic candidate
- Maurice Mercer
- Republican candidate
- Gary Palmer
- Incumbent / open seat
- Gary Palmer
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 37.7% D / 62.3% R
- Projected margin
- R +24.6
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on November 3, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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