Arizona 32026 HOUSE POLLS

Nicholas Glenn

REPUBLICAN

Technician

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2026 Arizona 3rd District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Arizona's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Yassamin Ansari and Republican Nicholas Glenn. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Arizona 3rd District House election features Democrat Yassamin Ansari and Republican Nicholas Glenn. Incumbent Representative Yassamin Ansari is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Arizona's 3rd congressional district by 11.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.

Year: 2026
Race: House
District: AZ-3
Democratic candidate: Yassamin Ansari
Republican candidate: Nicholas Glenn
Incumbent / open seat: Yassamin Ansari
Forecast rating: Solid D
Projected vote: 75.2% D / 24.9% R
Projected margin: D +50.3
Forecast odds: 99.9% D / 0.1% R
Forecast last updated: 12:00 AM on August 16, 2026
Polling average: —
Polling average margin: —
Polling last updated: —
Polls included: 0
Latest poll: —