Arizona 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Arizona 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Arizona 3rd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Yassamin Ansari a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Nicholas Glenn. Pollsmax projects Ansari to receive 75.2% of the vote compared with 24.8% for Glenn, a projected Democratic margin of 50.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Arizona 3rd District House election features Democrat Yassamin Ansari and Republican Nicholas Glenn. Incumbent Representative Yassamin Ansari is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Arizona's 3rd congressional district by 11.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.