Arizona 72026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Arizona 7th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Arizona 7th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Adelita Grijalva a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Daniel Butierez. Pollsmax projects Grijalva to receive 72.5% of the vote compared with 27.6% for Butierez, a projected Democratic margin of 44.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Arizona 7th District House election features Democrat Adelita Grijalva and Republican Daniel Butierez. Incumbent Representative Adelita Grijalva is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Arizona's 7th congressional district by 21.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.