Adelita Grijalva, 2026 Arizona 7th District House Democratic candidate
Adelita Grijalva*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-AZ)
2025 – Present
Arizona state flag

Arizona7th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Daniel Butierez, 2026 Arizona 7th District House Republican candidate
Daniel Butierez
REPUBLICAN
Painting Contractor

2026 Arizona 7th District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Arizona's 7th congressional district House election between Democrat Adelita Grijalva and Republican Daniel Butierez. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Arizona 7th District House election features Democrat Adelita Grijalva and Republican Daniel Butierez. Incumbent Representative Adelita Grijalva is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Arizona's 7th congressional district by 21.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
AZ-7
Democratic candidate
Adelita Grijalva
Republican candidate
Daniel Butierez
Incumbent / open seat
Adelita Grijalva
Forecast rating
Solid D
Projected vote
67.5% D / 32.6% R
Projected margin
D +34.9
Forecast odds
99.9% D / 0.1% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll