
Adelita Grijalva*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-AZ)
2025 – Present

Arizona7th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Daniel Butierez
REPUBLICAN
Painting Contractor
2026 Arizona 7th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Arizona's 7th congressional district House election between Democrat Adelita Grijalva and Republican Daniel Butierez. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Arizona 7th District House election features Democrat Adelita Grijalva and Republican Daniel Butierez. Incumbent Representative Adelita Grijalva is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Arizona's 7th congressional district by 21.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- AZ-7
- Democratic candidate
- Adelita Grijalva
- Republican candidate
- Daniel Butierez
- Incumbent / open seat
- Adelita Grijalva
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 67.5% D / 32.6% R
- Projected margin
- D +34.9
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —