Arizona 82026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Arizona 8th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Arizona 8th District House forecast currently gives Republican Abraham Hamadeh a 96.4% chance of defeating Democrat Bernadette Greene-Placentia. Pollsmax projects Hamadeh to receive 59.1% of the vote compared with 40.9% for Greene-Placentia, a projected Republican margin of 18.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Arizona 8th District House election features Democrat Bernadette Greene-Placentia and Republican Abraham Hamadeh. Incumbent Representative Abraham Hamadeh is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Arizona's 8th congressional district by 14.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.