Chris Jones, 2026 Arkansas 2nd District House Democratic candidate
Chris Jones
DEMOCRATIC
Nuclear Engineer
Arkansas state flag

Arkansas 22026 HOUSE POLLS

French Hill, 2026 Arkansas 2nd District House Republican candidate
French Hill*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-AR)
2015 – Present

2026 Arkansas 2nd District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Arkansas's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Chris Jones and Republican French Hill. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Arkansas 2nd District House election features Democrat Chris Jones and Republican French Hill. Incumbent Representative French Hill is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Arkansas' 2nd congressional district by 8.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
AR-2
Democratic candidate
Chris Jones
Republican candidate
French Hill
Incumbent / open seat
French Hill
Forecast rating
Solid R
Projected vote
42.4% D / 57.6% R
Projected margin
R +15.2
Forecast odds
4.6% D / 95.4% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on August 16, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll