Chris Jones
DEMOCRATIC
Nuclear Engineer
Arkansas2nd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
French Hill*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-AR)
2015 – Present
2026 Arkansas 2nd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Arkansas's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Chris Jones and Republican French Hill. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Arkansas 2nd District House election features Democrat Chris Jones and Republican French Hill. Incumbent Representative French Hill is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Arkansas' 2nd congressional district by 8.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- AR-2
- Democratic candidate
- Chris Jones
- Republican candidate
- French Hill
- Incumbent / open seat
- French Hill
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 41.9% D / 58.1% R
- Projected margin
- R +16.2
- Forecast odds
- 4.2% D / 95.8% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —