Arkansas 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Arkansas 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Arkansas 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican French Hill a 96.3% chance of defeating Democrat Chris Jones. Pollsmax projects Hill to receive 55.7% of the vote compared with 44.3% for Jones, a projected Republican margin of 11.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Arkansas 2nd District House election features Democrat Chris Jones and Republican French Hill. Incumbent Representative French Hill is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Arkansas' 2nd congressional district by 8.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.