Robb Ryerse, 2026 Arkansas 3rd District House Democratic candidate
Robb Ryerse
DEMOCRATIC
Pastor
Arkansas state flag

Arkansas3rd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Steve Womack, 2026 Arkansas 3rd District House Republican candidate
Steve Womack*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-AR)
2011 – Present

2026 Arkansas 3rd District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Arkansas's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Robb Ryerse and Republican Steve Womack. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Arkansas 3rd District House election features Democrat Robb Ryerse and Republican Steve Womack. Incumbent Representative Steve Womack is seeking reelection to a ninth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Arkansas' 3rd congressional district by 20.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
AR-3
Democratic candidate
Robb Ryerse
Republican candidate
Steve Womack
Incumbent / open seat
Steve Womack
Forecast rating
Solid R
Projected vote
33.1% D / 67.0% R
Projected margin
R +33.9
Forecast odds
0.1% D / 99.9% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll