Connie Chan
DEMOCRATIC
San Francisco Board of Supervisors
2021 – Present
California11th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Scott Wiener
DEMOCRATIC
California State Senate (D)
2016 – Present
2026 California 11th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 11th congressional district House election between Democrats Connie Chan and Scott Wiener. This page will update daily to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share for this all-Democratic contest.
The 2026 California 11th District House election features Democrats Connie Chan and Scott Wiener. The seat is open in 2026, following the retirement of Nancy Pelosi. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 11th congressional district by 19.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-11
- Democratic candidate
- Connie Chan
- Democratic candidate
- Scott Wiener
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 100.0% D / 0.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +100.0
- Forecast odds
- 100.0% D / 0.0% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —