California13th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 California 13th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 13th congressional district House election between Democrat Adam Gray and Republican Kevin Lincoln. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 California 13th District House election features Democrat Adam Gray and Republican Kevin Lincoln. Incumbent Representative Adam Gray is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 13th congressional district by 38.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-13
- Democratic candidate
- Adam Gray
- Republican candidate
- Kevin Lincoln
- Incumbent / open seat
- Adam Gray
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 60.3% D / 39.7% R
- Projected margin
- D +20.6
- Forecast odds
- 99.0% D / 1.0% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —