California 132026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 13th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 13th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Adam Gray a 99% chance of defeating Republican Kevin Lincoln. Pollsmax projects Gray to receive 60.3% of the vote compared with 39.8% for Lincoln, a projected Democratic margin of 20.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 13th District House election features Democrat Adam Gray and Republican Kevin Lincoln. Incumbent Representative Adam Gray is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 13th congressional district by 38.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.