Melissa Hernandez
DEMOCRATIC
Bay Area Rapid Transit Board President
California14th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Aisha Wahab
DEMOCRATIC
California State Senate (D)
2022 – Present
2026 California 14th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 14th congressional district House election between Democrats Melissa Hernandez and Aisha Wahab. This page will update daily to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share for this all-Democratic contest.
The 2026 California 14th District House election features Democrats Melissa Hernandez and Aisha Wahab. The seat is open in 2026, following the resignation of Eric Swalwell. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 14th congressional district by 25.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-14
- Democratic candidate
- Melissa Hernandez
- Democratic candidate
- Aisha Wahab
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 100.0% D / 0.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +100.0
- Forecast odds
- 100.0% D / 0.0% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —