California 142026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 14th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 14th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Melissa Hernandez a 100% chance of winning this all-Democratic contest against Democrat Aisha Wahab. Pollsmax projects Hernandez to receive 100% of the vote in this all-Democratic race. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 14th District House election features Democrats Melissa Hernandez and Aisha Wahab. The seat is open in 2026, following the resignation of Eric Swalwell. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 14th congressional district by 25.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.