California 192026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 19th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 19th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Jimmy Panetta a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Peter Verbica. Pollsmax projects Panetta to receive 69.9% of the vote compared with 30.1% for Verbica, a projected Democratic margin of 39.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 19th District House election features Democrat Jimmy Panetta and Republican Peter Verbica. Incumbent Representative Jimmy Panetta is seeking reelection to a sixth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 19th congressional district by 22.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.