

California 202026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 20th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 California 20th District House forecast currently gives Republican Vince Fong a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Sandra Van Scotter. Pollsmax projects Fong to receive 60.2% of the vote compared with 39.8% for Scotter, a projected Republican margin of 20.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 California 20th District House election features Democrat Sandra Van Scotter and Republican Vince Fong. Incumbent Representative Vince Fong is seeking reelection to a second term. This race is rated as solid Republican. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-20
- Democratic candidate
- Sandra Van Scotter
- Republican candidate
- Vince Fong
- Incumbent / open seat
- Vince Fong
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 39.8% D / 60.2% R
- Projected margin
- R +20.4
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on November 3, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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