California20th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 California 20th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 20th congressional district House election between Democrat Sandra Van Scotter and Republican Vince Fong. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 California 20th District House election features Democrat Sandra Van Scotter and Republican Vince Fong. Incumbent Representative Vince Fong is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 20th congressional district by 21.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-20
- Democratic candidate
- Sandra Van Scotter
- Republican candidate
- Vince Fong
- Incumbent / open seat
- Vince Fong
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 41.7% D / 58.4% R
- Projected margin
- R +16.7
- Forecast odds
- 4.1% D / 95.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —