California 202026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 20th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 20th District House forecast currently gives Republican Vince Fong a 96.1% chance of defeating Democrat Sandra Van Scotter. Pollsmax projects Fong to receive 58.4% of the vote compared with 41.7% for Scotter, a projected Republican margin of 16.7 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 20th District House election features Democrat Sandra Van Scotter and Republican Vince Fong. Incumbent Representative Vince Fong is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 20th congressional district by 21.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.