California 222026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 22nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 22nd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Randy Villegas a 85.5% chance of defeating Republican David Valadao. Pollsmax projects Villegas to receive 54.7% of the vote compared with 45.4% for Valadao, a projected Democratic margin of 9.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 22nd District House election features Democrat Randy Villegas and Republican David Valadao. Incumbent Representative David Valadao is seeking reelection to a seventh term. This race is rated as likely Democratic. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.