California25th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 California 25th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 25th congressional district House election between Democrat Raul Ruiz and Republican Joe Males. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 California 25th District House election features Democrat Raul Ruiz and Republican Joe Males. Incumbent Representative Raul Ruiz is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won California's 25th congressional district by 1.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-25
- Democratic candidate
- Raul Ruiz
- Republican candidate
- Joe Males
- Incumbent / open seat
- Raul Ruiz
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 59.2% D / 40.8% R
- Projected margin
- D +18.4
- Forecast odds
- 97.0% D / 3.0% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —