California 252026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 25th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 25th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Raul Ruiz a 97% chance of defeating Republican Joe Males. Pollsmax projects Ruiz to receive 59.4% of the vote compared with 40.7% for Males, a projected Democratic margin of 18.7 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 25th District House election features Democrat Raul Ruiz and Republican Joe Males. Incumbent Representative Raul Ruiz is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won California's 25th congressional district by 1.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.