California 262026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 26th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 26th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Jacqui Irwin a 99% chance of defeating Republican Sam Gallucci. Pollsmax projects Irwin to receive 60.3% of the vote compared with 39.7% for Gallucci, a projected Democratic margin of 20.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 26th District House election features Democrat Jacqui Irwin and Republican Sam Gallucci. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 26th congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.