California26th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 California 26th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 26th congressional district House election between Democrat Jacqui Irwin and Republican Sam Gallucci. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 California 26th District House election features Democrat Jacqui Irwin and Republican Sam Gallucci. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 26th congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-26
- Democratic candidate
- Jacqui Irwin
- Republican candidate
- Sam Gallucci
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 60.2% D / 39.8% R
- Projected margin
- D +20.4
- Forecast odds
- 99.1% D / 0.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —