California 282026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 28th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 28th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Judy Chu a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican April Verlato. Pollsmax projects Chu to receive 69.9% of the vote compared with 30.1% for Verlato, a projected Democratic margin of 39.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 28th District House election features Democrat Judy Chu and Republican April Verlato. Incumbent Representative Judy Chu is seeking reelection to a tenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 28th congressional district by 21.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.