California28th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 California 28th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 28th congressional district House election between Democrat Judy Chu and Republican April Verlato. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 California 28th District House election features Democrat Judy Chu and Republican April Verlato. Incumbent Representative Judy Chu is seeking reelection to a tenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 28th congressional district by 21.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-28
- Democratic candidate
- Judy Chu
- Republican candidate
- April Verlato
- Incumbent / open seat
- Judy Chu
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.1% D / 30.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +40.1
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —