California 302026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 30th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 30th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Laura Friedman a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Scott Meyers. Pollsmax projects Friedman to receive 69.8% of the vote compared with 30.2% for Meyers, a projected Democratic margin of 39.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 30th District House election features Democrat Laura Friedman and Republican Scott Meyers. Incumbent Representative Laura Friedman is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 30th congressional district by 16.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.