California31st District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 California 31st District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 31st congressional district House election between Democrat Gil Cisneros and Republican Eric Ching. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 California 31st District House election features Democrat Gil Cisneros and Republican Eric Ching. Incumbent Representative Gil Cisneros is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 31st congressional district by 6.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-31
- Democratic candidate
- Gil Cisneros
- Republican candidate
- Eric Ching
- Incumbent / open seat
- Gil Cisneros
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 63.8% D / 36.2% R
- Projected margin
- D +27.6
- Forecast odds
- 99.6% D / 0.4% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —