California 352026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 35th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 35th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Norma Torres a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Mike Cargile. Pollsmax projects Torres to receive 65.1% of the vote compared with 35% for Cargile, a projected Democratic margin of 30.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 35th District House election features Democrat Norma Torres and Republican Mike Cargile. Incumbent Representative Norma Torres is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 35th congressional district by 17.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.