California35th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 California 35th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 35th congressional district House election between Democrat Norma Torres and Republican Mike Cargile. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 California 35th District House election features Democrat Norma Torres and Republican Mike Cargile. Incumbent Representative Norma Torres is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 35th congressional district by 17.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-35
- Democratic candidate
- Norma Torres
- Republican candidate
- Mike Cargile
- Incumbent / open seat
- Norma Torres
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 65.0% D / 35.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +30.0
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —