California 362026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 36th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 36th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Ted Lieu a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Houston Brignano. Pollsmax projects Lieu to receive 67.8% of the vote compared with 32.2% for Brignano, a projected Democratic margin of 35.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 36th District House election features Democrat Ted Lieu and Republican Houston Brignano. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 36th congressional district by 0.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.