California36th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 California 36th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 36th congressional district House election between Democrat Ted Lieu and Republican Houston Brignano. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 California 36th District House election features Democrat Ted Lieu and Republican Houston Brignano. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 36th congressional district by 0.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-36
- Democratic candidate
- Ted Lieu
- Republican candidate
- Houston Brignano
- Incumbent / open seat
- Ted Lieu
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 67.7% D / 32.4% R
- Projected margin
- D +35.3
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —