California 402026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 40th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 40th District House forecast currently gives Republican Young Kim a 100% chance of winning this all-Republican contest against Republican Ken Calvert. Pollsmax projects Kim to receive 100% of the vote in this all-Republican race. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 40th District House election features Republicans Ken Calvert and Young Kim. The race features two incumbents following mid-decade redistricting. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 40th congressional district by 31.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.