Ken Calvert*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-CA)
1993 – Present
California40th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Young Kim*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-CA)
2021 – Present
2026 California 40th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 40th congressional district House election between Republicans Ken Calvert and Young Kim. This page will update daily to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share for this all-Republican contest.
The 2026 California 40th District House election features Republicans Ken Calvert and Young Kim. The race features two incumbents following mid-decade redistricting. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 40th congressional district by 31.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-40
- Republican candidate
- Ken Calvert
- Republican candidate
- Young Kim
- Incumbent / open seat
- Ken Calvert, Young Kim
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 0.0% D / 100.0% R
- Projected margin
- R +100.0
- Forecast odds
- 0.0% D / 100.0% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —