California 412026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 41st District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 41st District House forecast currently gives Democrat Linda Sánchez a 99.6% chance of defeating Republican Mitch Clemmons. Pollsmax projects Sánchez to receive 63.6% of the vote compared with 36.4% for Clemmons, a projected Democratic margin of 27.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 41st District House election features Democrat Linda Sánchez and Republican Mitch Clemmons. Incumbent Representative Linda Sánchez is seeking reelection to a thirteenth term. This race is rated as solid Democratic. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.