California41st District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 California 41st District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 41st congressional district House election between Democrat Linda Sánchez and Republican Mitch Clemmons. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 California 41st District House election features Democrat Linda Sánchez and Republican Mitch Clemmons. Incumbent Representative Linda Sánchez is seeking reelection to a thirteenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 41st congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-41
- Democratic candidate
- Linda Sánchez
- Republican candidate
- Mitch Clemmons
- Incumbent / open seat
- Linda Sánchez
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 64.4% D / 35.7% R
- Projected margin
- D +28.7
- Forecast odds
- 99.7% D / 0.3% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —