California 412026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 41st District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 41st District House forecast currently gives Democrat Linda Sánchez a 99.8% chance of defeating Republican Mitch Clemmons. Pollsmax projects Sánchez to receive 64.4% of the vote compared with 35.6% for Clemmons, a projected Democratic margin of 28.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 41st District House election features Democrat Linda Sánchez and Republican Mitch Clemmons. Incumbent Representative Linda Sánchez is seeking reelection to a thirteenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 41st congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.