California 442026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 44th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 44th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Nanette Barragán a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Genevieve Angel. Pollsmax projects Barragán to receive 80.2% of the vote compared with 19.9% for Angel, a projected Democratic margin of 60.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 44th District House election features Democrat Nanette Barragán and Republican Genevieve Angel. Incumbent Representative Nanette Barragán is seeking reelection to a sixth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 44th congressional district by 33.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.