California 472026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 47th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 47th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Dave Min a 99% chance of defeating Republican Jenny Le Roux. Pollsmax projects Min to receive 60.3% of the vote compared with 39.8% for Roux, a projected Democratic margin of 20.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 47th District House election features Democrat Dave Min and Republican Jenny Le Roux. Incumbent Representative Dave Min is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 47th congressional district by 11.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.