California47th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 California 47th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 47th congressional district House election between Democrat Dave Min and Republican Jenny Le Roux. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 California 47th District House election features Democrat Dave Min and Republican Jenny Le Roux. Incumbent Representative Dave Min is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won California's 47th congressional district by 11.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-47
- Democratic candidate
- Dave Min
- Republican candidate
- Jenny Le Roux
- Incumbent / open seat
- Dave Min
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 60.3% D / 39.8% R
- Projected margin
- D +20.5
- Forecast odds
- 99.1% D / 0.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —