California49th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 California 49th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 49th congressional district House election between Democrat Mike Levin and Republican Armen Kurdian. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 California 49th District House election features Democrat Mike Levin and Republican Armen Kurdian. Incumbent Representative Mike Levin is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won California's 49th congressional district by 2.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-49
- Democratic candidate
- Mike Levin
- Republican candidate
- Armen Kurdian
- Incumbent / open seat
- Mike Levin
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 59.0% D / 41.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +18.0
- Forecast odds
- 96.7% D / 3.3% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —