California50th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 California 50th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for California's 50th congressional district House election between Democrat Scott Peters and Republican Steve Cohen. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 California 50th District House election features Democrat Scott Peters and Republican Steve Cohen. Incumbent Representative Scott Peters is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won California's 50th congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CA-50
- Democratic candidate
- Scott Peters
- Republican candidate
- Steve Cohen
- Incumbent / open seat
- Scott Peters
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 60.5% D / 39.5% R
- Projected margin
- D +21.0
- Forecast odds
- 99.0% D / 1.0% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —