California 502026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 California 50th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 California 50th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Scott Peters a 99.1% chance of defeating Republican Steve Cohen. Pollsmax projects Peters to receive 60.6% of the vote compared with 39.4% for Cohen, a projected Democratic margin of 21.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 California 50th District House election features Democrat Scott Peters and Republican Steve Cohen. Incumbent Representative Scott Peters is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won California's 50th congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. California conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.