

Colorado 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Colorado 3rd District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Colorado 3rd District House forecast currently gives Republican Jeff Hurd a 74.4% chance of defeating Democrat Dwayne Romero. Pollsmax projects Hurd to receive 51.7% of the vote compared with 48.3% for Romero, a projected Republican margin of 3.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Lean Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Colorado 3rd District House election features Democrat Dwayne Romero and Republican Jeff Hurd. Incumbent Representative Jeff Hurd is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Colorado's 3rd congressional district by 7.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as lean Republican in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Colorado seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Colorado's 3rd District will be important in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CO-3
- Democratic candidate
- Dwayne Romero
- Republican candidate
- Jeff Hurd
- Incumbent / open seat
- Jeff Hurd
- Forecast rating
- Lean R
- Projected vote
- 48.3% D / 51.7% R
- Projected margin
- R +3.4
- Forecast odds
- 25.6% D / 74.4% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- 44.1% D / 45.3% R
- Polling average margin
- R +1.1
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 23, 2026
- Polls included
- 3
- Latest poll
- Keating Research — July 23, 2026