

Colorado3rd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

2026 Colorado 3rd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Colorado's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Dwayne Romero and Republican Jeff Hurd. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Colorado 3rd District House election features Democrat Dwayne Romero and Republican Jeff Hurd. Incumbent Representative Jeff Hurd is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Colorado's 3rd congressional district by 7.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as lean Republican in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Colorado seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Colorado's 3rd District will be important in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- CO-3
- Democratic candidate
- Dwayne Romero
- Republican candidate
- Jeff Hurd
- Incumbent / open seat
- Jeff Hurd
- Forecast rating
- Lean R
- Projected vote
- 47.8% D / 52.2% R
- Projected margin
- R +4.4
- Forecast odds
- 23.2% D / 76.8% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —