Connecticut 42026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Connecticut 4th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Connecticut 4th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Jim Himes a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Michael Goldstein. Pollsmax projects Himes to receive 65.2% of the vote compared with 34.9% for Goldstein, a projected Democratic margin of 30.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Connecticut 4th District House election features Democrat Jim Himes and Republican Michael Goldstein. Incumbent Representative Jim Himes is seeking reelection to a tenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Connecticut's 4th congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.