Connecticut 52026 HOUSE FORECAST

2026 Connecticut 5th District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Connecticut's 5th congressional district House election between Democrat Jahana Hayes and Republican TBD. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Connecticut 5th District House election features Democrat Jahana Hayes and Republican TBD. Incumbent Representative Jahana Hayes is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Connecticut's 5th congressional district by 0.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.