Delaware AL2026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Delaware At-Large District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Delaware At-Large District House forecast currently gives Democrat Sarah McBride a 99.1% chance of defeating Republican Joseph Arminio. Pollsmax projects McBride to receive 61.5% of the vote compared with 38.6% for Arminio, a projected Democratic margin of 22.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Delaware at-large District House election features Democrat Sarah McBride and Republican Joseph Arminio. Incumbent Representative Sarah McBride is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Delaware's at-large congressional district by 4.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.