Florida 122026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Florida 12th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Florida 12th District House forecast currently gives Republican Gus Bilirakis a 98.5% chance of defeating Democrat Kimberly Overman. Pollsmax projects Bilirakis to receive 57.4% of the vote compared with 42.6% for Overman, a projected Republican margin of 14.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Florida 12th District House election features Democrat Kimberly Overman and Republican Gus Bilirakis. Incumbent Representative Gus Bilirakis is seeking reelection to a eleventh term. This race is rated as solid Republican. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.