Florida 132026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Florida 13th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Florida 13th District House forecast currently gives Republican Anna Paulina Luna a 83.1% chance of defeating Democrat Leela Gray. Pollsmax projects Luna to receive 53.4% of the vote compared with 46.7% for Gray, a projected Republican margin of 6.7 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Florida 13th District House election features Democrat Leela Gray and Republican Anna Paulina Luna. Incumbent Representative Anna Paulina Luna is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Florida's 13th congressional district by 0.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.