Florida 132026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Florida 13th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Florida 13th District House forecast currently gives Republican Anna Paulina Luna a 78% chance of defeating Democrat Leela Gray. Pollsmax projects Luna to receive 52.5% of the vote compared with 47.5% for Gray, a projected Republican margin of 5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Lean Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Florida 13th District House election features Democrat Leela Gray and Republican Anna Paulina Luna. Incumbent Representative Anna Paulina Luna is seeking reelection to a third term. This race is rated as lean Republican. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Florida seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Florida's 13th District will be important in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.