Florida 172026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Florida 17th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Florida's 17th congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican Greg Steube. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Florida 17th District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican Greg Steube. Incumbent Representative Greg Steube is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Florida's 17th congressional district by 14.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- FL-17
- Democratic candidate
- TBD
- Republican candidate
- Greg Steube
- Incumbent / open seat
- Greg Steube
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 40.1% D / 59.9% R
- Projected margin
- R +19.8
- Forecast odds
- 1.6% D / 98.4% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —