Florida 182026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Florida 18th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Florida 18th District House forecast currently gives Republican Scott Franklin a 96.4% chance of defeating Democrat Curtis Gibson. Pollsmax projects Franklin to receive 58.6% of the vote compared with 41.4% for Gibson, a projected Republican margin of 17.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Florida 18th District House election features Democrat Curtis Gibson and Republican Scott Franklin. Incumbent Representative Scott Franklin is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Florida's 18th congressional district by 6.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.