Florida18th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Florida 18th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Florida's 18th congressional district House election between Democrat Curtis Gibson and Republican Scott Franklin. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Florida 18th District House election features Democrat Curtis Gibson and Republican Scott Franklin. Incumbent Representative Scott Franklin is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Florida's 18th congressional district by 6.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- FL-18
- Democratic candidate
- Curtis Gibson
- Republican candidate
- Scott Franklin
- Incumbent / open seat
- Scott Franklin
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 41.5% D / 58.6% R
- Projected margin
- R +17.1
- Forecast odds
- 3.3% D / 96.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —